Single post in Melanistic Hatching Thread
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I feel like the base chance with maximum boost but minimal chain and no zthon crystal is around 1 in 4000.
So arceus ranks can push that up to 1 in 800.
But that's just a feeling. I'm usually luckier than that while my friends aren't.
Also I saw very long chains of max boosted people that got a bit more than 1 melan per 1000 eggs
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